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Past Giving Predicts Future Giving—And That’s the Problem

Past giving predicts future giving, and that’s where the circular logic of donor understanding begins. It’s like saying, someone is on time because they tend to be punctual. True, but not useful. Yes, past behavior can improve efficiency. But you can efficient your way out of business. What this sector needs is more effectiveness—not just […]

Learn More March 12, 2025

Why the Right Identity, Not Just Any Identity, Drives Giving

You’re young or old, wealthy or working-class, conservative or progressive, male or female. These are easy-to-find labels and we all sort into multiple categories and for these reasons, we assume it must be meaningful.  So, we dutifully segment our lists, thinking that targeting “women donors” or “millennials” or “high-net-worth individuals” is the key to unlocking […]

Learn More March 7, 2025

The Necesssary Fundraising Rethink

Fewer donors, falling acquisition, lousy retention. And the industry response seems to be, chase harder.  Fundraising has become a high-volume solicitation machine—and yet, the two most statistically likely outcomes for a new donor are: Never give again Give 1x/yr. The vast majority of your donors fall into the zero or 1 bucket.  Does a strategy […]

Learn More March 3, 2025

Fundraising on Mount Stupid

Welcome to Mount Stupid—the place where half-baked ideas go to thrive and untested ‘best practices’ become gospel. Fundraising isn’t immune to this phenomenon. In fact, it’s a breeding ground for overconfident tactics that crash and burn when they meet reality. You’ve seen it before. Someone declares, “We must offer premiums!” Or a consultant insists, “Match […]

Learn More February 28, 2025

When Might a Losing Test Win?

Did These Ads Win? No Peeking. If you had to guess, did either of these test ads beat the control? Neither did. At least, that’s the case if you assume everyone is the same and run a random nth test—which is 99% of all tests. Okay, how about this one? Same question—go ahead and peek […]

Learn More February 26, 2025

Backlash Building

  Twelve hours. That’s how long it took. Twelve hours after Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem announced a $200 million taxpayer-funded thank-you campaign for Trump—an order straight from him—he logged onto Truth Social. Urged Musk to “get more aggressive.” More destruction. Faster. Until the whole damn thing collapses. Paralyze, then dismember the U.S. government. That’s […]

Learn More February 24, 2025

This Job Listing Reveals What Fundraising Is Missing

Are you in the behavior business?  Your fundraising team probably says they are while your program staff is more likely to be acting like it. There’s a growing paradox in charitable organizations: program teams are embracing behavioral science to tackle big, intractable problems, while fundraisers mostly stick to describing donor behavior—maybe predicting it occasionally. But […]

Learn More February 21, 2025

Mind the Gap: Why Behavioral Nudges Don’t Always Transfer to Fundraising

Nudges have been the darling of behavioral science—subtle tactics designed to steer choices in predictable ways. Businesses use them everywhere, from pricing strategies to product placement. So, can fundraisers just borrow these tricks and expect the same results? Not quite. The gap between consumer and donor decision-making is massive. Buying a product is about value-for-money […]

Learn More February 19, 2025

President’s Day or Identity Crisis?

It’s an odd holiday here in the States.  The Brits might call it a Bank Holiday. It used to celebrate George Washington’s birthday.  In fact, in the annals of US Government paperwork it’s still officially listed as this by the US Office of Personnel Management, which I think is like their HR Department. At any […]

Learn More February 17, 2025

Chasing High Returns Is Killing Your Growth

Who doesn’t want to show off a shiny 4:1 Return on Ad Spend (ROAS) from your latest campaign?  Your CFO is probably already dreaming about next quarter’s numbers. What idiot fundraiser would argue against channeling dollars to the higher ROAS activities?  This idiot. Here’s what everyone’s addicted to: Paid Search Brand Terms: 8:1 ROAS (Translation: […]

Learn More February 14, 2025

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Ask A Behavioral Scientist

    Behavioral Science Q & A

    Q:We are struggling with acquistion. During our biggest community campaign, a colleague is suggesting that we have a QR code directing donors to a donate page that does not capture donor information – just a donation and an email address. We won’t be able to post any of these new doors our lvoely newsletters, or thank you letters. We’ll likely never hear from them again. What’s the best method to get this team to see the importance about a donor vs a donation?

    Thanks so much for raising this. Yes, capturing donor information can be helpful for stewardship like newsletters, thank-you letters, impact updates. But how you ask matters. Forcing full data capture introduces friction that can significantly depress conversion, many donors may simply abandon the process. Beyond the friction itself, required fields also shift the emotional experience […]

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    Q: Should we include “Giving Tuesday” in the subject lines for the emails that are going out before Giving Tuesday?

    Unlike holidays that everyone already knows, Giving Tuesday is a created event. Many donors recognize the name but not the exact timing, so referencing it becomes a helpful cue. It serves as a reminder and taps into social norm activation (“everyone’s giving today”), which boosts response. However, we still want it paired with the mission, […]

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    Q: can we pull the match language into the subject lines? Or this should be an A/B test?

    When a subject line leads with the match (“Your gift matched!”), it risks triggering market-norm thinking: the sense that giving is a financial transaction rather than an act rooted in values, identity, and care. This shift reduces intrinsic motivation and, over time, can weaken donor satisfaction and long-term engagement. It also makes the email indistinguishable […]

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    Q: Our mid-level donor team removed the QR code from the DM donation form that links to the donation page, but have left the URL for them to type it in manually. Not sure why they are adding a barrier to the donation process for a higher value donor – but I have to ask – is there any proof – either way – if a QR donation code reduces MV online giving, has any effect on their donation amount, has any effect on off line donations? Thank you….

    There’s no evidence that QR codes suppress mid-value giving; all available research suggests they either help or have no negative effect. In fact, behavioral and usability research consistently shows the opposite: reducing friction at any point in the donation process increases completion rates and total response. And that has nothing to do with capacity and […]

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    Q: How can we effectively use behavioral science to help shift our Board’s mindset. The majority are extremely resistant to asking their networks or sharing their contact lists with us, even after a candid discussion with an external lay leader who has been training boards with her fantastic Fundraising isn’t the F Word! workshop. We have also offered to use our automated email tool to send their appeals from their own email. It is so frustrating. We even have 2 Board members and the chair trying put some accountability on them for our big event but people are not really moving!

    What you’re experiencing is very common. Resistance often isn’t about capability, but about motivation quality. If board members feel pushed into fundraising, that triggers controlled motivation (low quality motivation) i.e. obligation, guilt, or fear of judgment, which often results in avoidance. Instead, we need to create conditions for volitional motivation (high quality motivation) by satisfying […]

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    Q: Copywriters often argue the ask should appear on the first page, but that usually breaks the story in two. With a one-sided letter the ask is always on page one, but with a two-sided letter it may fall on the second page—do results differ? Has your appeal structure been tested on both one-sided and two-sided letters? I just read the article Your Appeal Outline: Thoughtful Strategy or Random Spasm?

    That’s a really thoughtful question, and you’re not the first to raise it. Many of our clients have been cautious about placing the ask at the very end. To address their concern, we’ve tested both approaches, and the results are clear: when the ask comes last, even if that means it appears on the second […]

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